By Chiara de Franco, C. Meyer

ISBN-10: 0230316913

ISBN-13: 9780230316911

ISBN-10: 1349334227

ISBN-13: 9781349334223

Assembling a excessive profile staff of students and practitioners, this ebook investigates the interaction of forecasting; warnings approximately, and responses to, identified and unknown transnational hazards. It demanding situations traditional bills of 'failures' of caution and preventive coverage in either the tutorial literature and public debate.

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Extra resources for Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks

Example text

Grabo, 1987). Warning failure is failure to anticipate some action, event or decision by a foreign leader that results in detrimental consequences to another nation's national security. Although intelligence failure is often related to the failure to forecast events before they happen, not all warning failures are solely the responsibility of the intelligence community. Intelligence is used to influence decisions that may result in a specific action. For example, if a policy maker receives intelligence that a specific act will probably occur, and the policymaker implements no preventive action, is that a warning failure?

For example, a disaster response plan (associated with warning intelligence) is not the same as a disaster-preparation plan (associated with general intelligence). A disaster-preparation plan could restructure the conditions that will provide an adequate response as envisioned beforehand. Naomi Zack, in her book Ethics {'or Disaster (2009), delineates the difference by stating three principles between these phrases. According to Zack, 'planning is part of preparation, and. it needs to occur before a disaster is present or imminent, if not done beforehand.

In its simplest form, according to Plato, considered the father of epistemology, reality can be divided into two main divisions, which are 'the Sensible World' and 'the World of Forms' (Plato, 2007: 509d-511e). 'The Sensible World' spans from the metaphysical world of 'images' to the epistemological world of imagination and perception, resulting in opinion. 'The World of Forms' spans the metaphysical world from 'mathematical forms' to the epistemological world of understanding and reason, resulting in knowledge.

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Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks by Chiara de Franco, C. Meyer

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