By James S. Clark, Alan Gelfand

ISBN-10: 019856967X

ISBN-13: 9780198569671

New statistical instruments are altering the ways that scientists study and interpret info and types. lots of those are rising end result of the extensive availability of cheap, excessive pace computational energy. particularly, hierarchical Bayes and Markov Chain Monte Carlo equipment for anyalsis supply constant framework for inference and prediction the place details is heterogeneous and unsure, procedures are complicated, and responses depend upon scale. Nowhere are those tools extra promising than within the environmental sciences. types have constructed speedily, and there's now a demand for a transparent exposition of the method via to software for a variety of environmental demanding situations.

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Additional info for Hierarchical Modelling for the Environmental Sciences: Statistical Methods and Applications

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The natural descriptive statistics associated with these data are locus specific allele frequencies and measures to describe the partitioning of genetic diversity within and among populations. F-statistics, which were first introduced by Sewall Wright and Gustave Malécot are the most widely used statistics for this purpose, but neither Wright nor Malécot paid close attention to problems associated with inference of parameters from data. The most widely used inferential methods are now ANOVA-inspired approaches in which methods-of-moments estimators are used.

E(pik |πi ) = E(pi′ k′ |πi′ ), for example, if and only if πi = πi′ . 8) requires that we calculate the integral of the expression on the right side of the equation over all parameters in the prior. While it is occasionally possible to do such calculations analytically in simple cases, it is not possible in either of the cases above. Instead I use Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling to generate samples from the posterior. To illustrate the approach, consider the much simpler problem of estimating the frequency of allele A1 in a single population, given a count of k A1 alleles in a sample of size n.

The data means mu[i] are specified using a logical link (denoted by <-), instead of a stochastic one (denoted by ∼). 3. WinBUGS code for the line example. cam. html for an easy-to-follow Flash introduction to these steps. fi/openbugs/. 2 Hierarchical Poisson failure rates Here we consider a hierarchical model for failure rates arising from discrete failure counts Yi arising during an elapsed time of ti for similar but not identical systems i = 1, . . , k. 4. WinBUGS code for the pump data example.

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Hierarchical Modelling for the Environmental Sciences: Statistical Methods and Applications by James S. Clark, Alan Gelfand

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